Lee County MPO 2045 Long-Range Transportation Plan (LRTP)
Metro Forecasting Models analyzed all vacant land in Lee County and built a land use model to determine its realistic future development by Traffic Analysis Zone (TAZ) for the 2045 Long-Range Transportation Plan.
The Lee County Metropolitan Planning Organization needed an accurate forecast of Lee County’s future growth for the 2045 Long-Range Transportation Plan. To account for future growth, Metro Forecasting Models modeled all of the vacant land in Lee County according to each parcel’s unique characteristics (zoning, future land use, percentage wetlands, etc.).
To determine the impact of future growth on the transportation network, data from the Interactive Growth Model® was used to forecast the number of personal vehicles and the approximate home and work locations of future residents. The IGM used the most accurate data available on existing structures and vacant land characteristics. Thoroughly-cleaned, spatial land use data was the foundation for the Interactive Growth Model.
As a result, the Lee County MPO has a land use model which indicates transportation concerns decades before it is an issue for transportation infrastructure. For example, residential areas far from commercial centers will eventually develop and the residents will have to drive daily in the same direction to work and services. The land use data can be used to identify these areas early so commercial land can be strategically allocated in these areas before they develop.
“Their methodology for forecasting growth and development is completely original and has proven to be accurate and insightful.” – Donald Scott, Director of the Lee County MPO
